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Violent Weather - 2024 Edition

DejaWiz

DejaWiz

Ideal_Rock
Joined
Apr 23, 2021
Messages
6,369
Figured a thread about the mysteries and terrors that the weather can bring is in order...this is merely a place to post about weather phenomenon happening this year.

If any fellow PS'ers experience detrimental loss, then please reach out to local, state, and even federal emergency assistance entities immediately. If any willing PS members nearby are willing to offer assistance or aid until emergency assistance is involved, then I figured this would be the place to ask for help or to offer help.

Some stormy and tornadic activity near my home this afternoon. Primary storm cell that produced the first tornado was heading right for my neighborhood then it abruptly changed direction and dodged us. Still didn't make it out fully unscathed, but a lot less than the folks that just lost everything. Heartbreaking.


The second storm system that did sweep over my neighborhood left us riddled with larger sized hail. My shoes are size 12, for scale.

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Screenshot_20240426-200516-279.png

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received_350419134700398.jpeg


West of my home, about 7-8 miles, is where the tornado leveled about 40 homes and damaged countless others. First picture was taken by my daughter about 12 miles from her home. Second picture was taken by a good friend of my brother.

IMG_20240426_151348.jpg

IMG_20240426_195926.jpg


Some viewer-submitted footage that was submitted to one of the news stations:

www.ketv.com

WATCH: Large tornado crossing interstate in Nebraska

A KETV viewer shared video with us showing a large tornado crossing an interstate in Nebraska.
www.ketv.com www.ketv.com
 
Hi @DejaWiz you probably know that @Arcadian does incredibly indepth threads during hurricane season frequently updating (oftentimes almost hourly) us all of the hurricanes path (typically Eastern Seaboard), strength, etc. She has the most amazing threads! I know tornadoes are a completely different animal, but I was thinking maybe you two would want to join forces?

Anyway, I'm so sorry you went through this and there was so much devastation. Glad that both you and your daughter were seemingly unscathed!

Oh, and I concur with @LilAlex!
 
UGH!
So sorry this happened to you and your community! :blackeye:

I often think of how we in So. California are long overdue for the next big quake. :eek2:
 
goodness thats some big hail!!! I am glad everything is ok with you all, my prayers for everyone else...we have had more tornado warnings in our little burg in the month of April than we have had in the last 10 years...its crazy...our son seen a tornado heading to our house about 3 or 4 weeks ago and literally seen it turn north, we have been lucky some of our neighbors out in the country not so much, but ours have been EF1 tornado's, hopefully this crazy weather settles down soon!
 
Wow - so glad that monster changed course away from you! These storms are terrifying and leave so much damage in their wake. So happy that you and your family are safe. Hope the hail didn’t damage or ding anything.
 
That's so scary! I'm glad you and your family are okay, DejaWiz.
 
Those photos are heartbreaking, considering the havoc that has been wreaked on the owners. Hopefully, no live were lost but it is a a lifechanging event.

My sibling and her family had their home leveled several years ago by an EF3 tornado. They were fortunate to escape with their lives but life as they knew it changed completely. The cleanup was the first step and there was glass imbedded everywhere inside and out since there were about 8 homes decimated from the hit.

They learned to immediately head to the basement when a warning goes up. The tornado which hit their home was bouncing and they didn't have the luxury of watching a funnel approaching, only debris dropping across field. By the time they got half way down the steps to the basement, the windows were shattering in their home. When I finally got to see my sister 2 hours later, she still had shreds in insulation in her hair. Items and paperwork from their home were found over 40 miles away.

Her strong suggestion is when a potential tornado watch is going up, pack a bag with meds, glasses, computer, cell phone, purse, any important papers including insurance information, pajamas, change of clothes and underwear and put on good, strong shoes because walking out of the basement can be treacherous. Include a flashlight if the storm occurs at early evening or night. Place the items in a protected space in the basement or your shelter so all you will need to do is head to safety in the event a warning is sounded.

There will be few possessions left if you take a direct hit
 
The destruction is horrendous. So far, (fingers crossed), I have heard of no deaths which is truly a miracle. My thoughts
are with the injured and those who now have to put their lives, homes, and businesses back together.
 
Our Son in law has parents in Lincoln. We’ve been in touch and so far all is good! Quite a few of us PS folk live just west of Chicago and have been keeping an eye to the sky for days. Today the wind is crazy.
 
Ugh, its gotten worse, and its still not over. Stay safe out there folks!
 
Looks like tomorrow will be a repeat for mid America. Stay safe DejaWiz and others!
 
The weather this year is not joking. its been horrible. Sorry to those affected. Hurricane season is around the corner for us and its said to be a really active one. (I'm trying to wrap up some sewing projects mainly because of that!) this week I'm testing that all systems are a go at my house as the JIC.
 
Massive storm system passed over the Midwest last night... torrential downpour and some BB to pea sized hail along with some close lightning strikes woke me up.
So, like a proper great plains dweller, I went out into the garage to watch and film it.

https://imgur.com/a/MotUgHc

Screenshot_20240521-083536-585.png
 
DejaWiz said:
Massive storm system passed over the Midwest last night... torrential downpour and some BB to pea sized hail along with some close lightning strikes woke me up.
So, like a proper great plains dweller, I went out into the garage to watch and film it.

https://imgur.com/a/MotUgHc

Screenshot_20240521-083536-585.png
Click to expand...

You sound like my neighbors! Today it got super dark and still around noon. I was sitting at the front window and I saw some neighbors come out and look for cloud rotation. Do we go to the basement? Heck no, we want photos!

IMG_5272.jpeg
 
I'm heartbroken at what so many folks have endured with the weather - I can't imagine losing my home. I AM grateful that my fellow Pricescopers have all managed to stay safe, though. For us in Ohio, it's been really, really active with severe weather in recent years, and this year in particular. (This is on top of more and more torrential rains in the spring causing more and more severe flooding, temps at 3:00 am still in the 80s last summer, and late June/July temps and humidity by early May both last year and this year.)

In April of 2017, we had an F1 that hit our little town, destroyed some barns, damaged (but thankfully didn't destroy) houses, and completely uprooted large, mature trees literally two blocks down the road from us.

On Memorial Day 5 years ago, a set of tornadoes including F2s, F3s, and F4s utterly destroyed swaths of Dayton and surrounding suburbs, and 2 people were killed. It's a miracle there weren't more deaths, as the NWS wasn't expecting weather that severe until it was almost already in Ohio and it happened after 10 at night. I remember huddling under the stairs in the basement in terror because at least two of the tornadoes were headed straight for us originally. One, an F3, angled a bit at the last minute and ended up going just south of us and the most powerful F4 lifted back up into the clouds just as it crossed the western county line approaching us.

Since then, it's been picking up with more frequent tornado warnings, sightings, and damage every year. This year, in February, houses were destroyed and people were injured just a few miles east of us. In March, multiple tornadoes savaged a lakeside community about 45 minutes north of us. Since then, there's been at least three nights we've spent moving our "go bags" and other necessary stuff to the basement while watching the local TV station all evening as tornadoes go through the general area.

I believe it when experts say that climate change has caused Tornado Alley to expand and move northward and eastward.
 
Another gnarly supercell growing angry as it headed east...i filmed this off my back porch last night.

https://imgur.com/a/LtNwZaE
 
We've seen this story before, but, the red one is the one to watch for any type of real Gulf action. Not enough model agreement on where its actually going (its 40% as of this morning) but just not that it will be somewhere in the Gulf and Gulf states should pay close attention especially July 4-8.

I'll start a new thread once it gets a name.

Mr yellow is going into Mexico. If you're vacationing there you'll get some of this.



View attachment 975525
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea is producing
widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity while
it moves westward at around 20 mph. Some development of
this system is possible over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive, and development of this system is anticipated. A
tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form this weekend
several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands while the system
moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Pasch
 
Karl, Dee*Jay and I along with the Chicago Ps team had a rough night last night and it’s due to be worse tonight. I was babysitting the grandkids and it took me 6 turn around from deep flooding to get home. Keep us in your thoughts tonight please!
 
AprilBaby said:
Karl, Dee*Jay and I along with the Chicago Ps team had a rough night last night and it’s due to be worse tonight. I was babysitting the grandkids and it took me 6 turn around from deep flooding to get home. Keep us in your thoughts tonight please!
Click to expand...

Oh, no! I'm so sorry that you all experienced that. Did you and yours make it OK through the night?

I had no idea that Chicago was hit that badly. My niece and nephew-in-law are up there - I hope they're OK, without damage to their house (that they haven't had all that long). Think I'll text her.......
 
OboeGal said:
Oh, no! I'm so sorry that you all experienced that. Did you and yours make it OK through the night?

I had no idea that Chicago was hit that badly. My niece and nephew-in-law are up there - I hope they're OK, without damage to their house (that they haven't had all that long). Think I'll text her.......
Click to expand...
We had a tornado close enough we actually went downstairs from standing at the door looking out.
I couldn't see it through the trees but I could hear it for sure.
Power was out for 6+ hours.
All ok here.
A lot of people have flooded basements, even ones that dont normally flood.
Some storm drains filled up and flooded a bunch of businesses in a couple areas.
We had a ton of rain between all the storms.
 
Karl_K said:
We had a tornado close enough we actually went downstairs from standing at the door looking out.
I couldn't see it through the trees but I could hear it for sure.
Power was out for 6+ hours.
All ok here.
A lot of people have flooded basements, even ones that dont normally flood.
Some storm drains filled up and flooded a bunch of businesses in a couple areas.
We had a ton of rain between all the storms.
Click to expand...

WOW! I'm so glad you're all OK! That must have been so scary.

I sure hope my niece didn't get a flooded basement. They haven't had their little house all that long, and the finished basement with gorgeous wood floors was one of its best assets - not to mention they were preparing a room down there for her half-sister to stay with them a while. I really need to text her!
 
We had one 2 miles south. Lots of tree damage and flooding but all ok! Karl-typical midwestern behavior, we go and look if we can see it! Did you hear “freight train”?
 
AprilBaby said:
We had one 2 miles south. Lots of tree damage and flooding but all ok! Karl-typical midwestern behavior, we go and look if we can see it! Did you hear “freight train”?
Click to expand...

Glad you're OK as well!

We're in Ohio, and my brother and I constantly joke about how badly we want to see one in person, even though I know once I do, I'll wish I was wearing Depends!
 
Major models are showing development but no actual agreement as to where it will go. Texas isn't out of the question (again) but nobody is really.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Forecast Models

Real-time weather model forecast graphics
www.tropicaltidbits.com www.tropicaltidbits.com

Its a watch and wait and be prepared.

two_atl_7d07-27-2024.png
 
FYI, might get named something out of this storm, but right now its 60% so time will tell.

If it gets named I'll make a separate thread, but right now no agreement on the major models. Still no model agreement but based on NHC, they're saying southeast needs to pay more attention than gulf. BUT...I saw a GFS run that was straight up crazy this morning. Formation is still far enough out where there's a lot of factors in play.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
A large tropical wave centered several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower activity due to
environmental dry air. Conditions are forecast to become a little
more conducive for development over the warmer waters of the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form
late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater
Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the
Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi

7-30-two_atl_7d0.png
 
I feel like we're being stalked by a turtle...lol

New data is coming out. Still a no name storm....and time frame is about August 3-5

Looks like its going to be all Florida or nothing at this point. GFS is saying a panhandle hit. Euro is saying its staying off shore of CONUS, going up the coast.

Its like "make up your freaking mind dude we got stuff to do!"
 
Bad weather today out DejaWiz area. Tornadic storms in southeastern Nebraska. Power is out in Lincoln. Havnt seen you around so hope all is good!
 
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