We have more storms hitting the gulf
- Thread starter Arcadian
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Have a look at https://www.ventusky.com for modelled weather - it's amazingly useful for a free site!
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I use https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ because of the hardcorde data modeling that they use. I don't talk about it much, it would be too confusing...lol most sites like windy or ventusky use blended models which can sometimes be more off than on.
Speaking of, recon data is starting to show up on TD25 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
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So I woke up this morning and see TS Gamma, a yet unnamed orange spot, and 2 yellow ones.... goodness.....
@dk168 heard that you guys were getting inclimate weather there! the storms this year seem to be all about the flooding, stay safe!!
Where I am we're getting frontal rains. The storm for us to watch is the one closest to Gamma, there's some uncertainty where the high will be at that time and its looking like it could hit in the vicinity of where Michael did (which is bad, that place has not recovered!)
Also gamma is already getting some dry air into it. and has to survive that + trip across Yucitan peninsula. Will keep it small (we hope) but the storm is already stacked, which is bad and its gaining strength right now.
Going to be an interesting day.
@dk168 heard that you guys were getting inclimate weather there! the storms this year seem to be all about the flooding, stay safe!!
Where I am we're getting frontal rains. The storm for us to watch is the one closest to Gamma, there's some uncertainty where the high will be at that time and its looking like it could hit in the vicinity of where Michael did (which is bad, that place has not recovered!)
Also gamma is already getting some dry air into it. and has to survive that + trip across Yucitan peninsula. Will keep it small (we hope) but the storm is already stacked, which is bad and its gaining strength right now.
Going to be an interesting day.
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We now have Delta. Gamma is naked 
basically upper level clouds has sheared off, we're getting some of it in FL today. Gamma could be another Marco situation which pretty much whimpered at landfall. Delta by the models is supposed to develop into a hurricane.
Louisiana/Alabama/FL should be watching this as NHC has forecast it to be 05MPH at landfall.
basically upper level clouds has sheared off, we're getting some of it in FL today. Gamma could be another Marco situation which pretty much whimpered at landfall. Delta by the models is supposed to develop into a hurricane.Louisiana/Alabama/FL should be watching this as NHC has forecast it to be 05MPH at landfall.
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Delta is now a hurricane. I zonked out about 9pm so I don't know what happened with Gamma. Probably with the fact it was a naked swirl, it really had no where else to go!
At any rate Delta will be a hurricane at landfall in the gulf. the usual places, just have yourselves ready, its your year.
Pensacola Police Department put out a very timely message for those with heavy equipment...
Hopefully they heed it this time and not let it take out another part of the bridge.
At any rate Delta will be a hurricane at landfall in the gulf. the usual places, just have yourselves ready, its your year.
Pensacola Police Department put out a very timely message for those with heavy equipment...
Hopefully they heed it this time and not let it take out another part of the bridge.
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Great, it will circle around and we will get more rain. 
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Great, it will circle around and we will get more rain.
Its been said that so far this year Louisiana has been in the cone 6 times. that is crazy (has to be a record!)
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Hurricane hunters are out right now
Basically cozumel and cancun, MX will get crapped on. by the 11am forecast, Delta is now a Cat4 and will make landfall there later tonight.
Also, timeframe for a US hit is Friday/Saturday. Its at night, which automaically means it will suck. US landfall is predicted to be as a Major Hurricane at 110MPH, and lets hope thats not coming true.
Basically cozumel and cancun, MX will get crapped on. by the 11am forecast, Delta is now a Cat4 and will make landfall there later tonight.
Also, timeframe for a US hit is Friday/Saturday. Its at night, which automaically means it will suck. US landfall is predicted to be as a Major Hurricane at 110MPH, and lets hope thats not coming true.
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Delta is now a cat4 @ 145MPH and looks to be on tap to get stronger. a few models has it at a cat5 by landfall. Officially NHC is saying it will hit as a major.
Also fyi, it keeps moving west. Texas, take note on this.
The good is that it will be a pretty fast moving storm..
Also fyi, it keeps moving west. Texas, take note on this.
The good is that it will be a pretty fast moving storm..
Daisys and Diamonds
Super_Ideal_Rock
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Hunker down and do what ever you have to do to stay safe
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Delta is currently visiting Mexico I don't know what damage was done there but I recall one hurricane ripped through Cozumel and Cancun and left it ruined for a long time. This one has 105mph winds currently, so Cat2
The cone has moved a tick east at the 8am advisory There's expectations that it could move west but no one really knows. Looking at the live they said that the TS winds are 135miles and HF winds are only 25 miles. very intersting facts actually.
While the air might be cool, the water is not. Hurricanes live and die by water temps. Land interaction and dry air can diminish storms however, its going to swing over some warmer waters in a little while.
The cone has moved a tick east at the 8am advisory There's expectations that it could move west but no one really knows. Looking at the live they said that the TS winds are 135miles and HF winds are only 25 miles. very intersting facts actually.
While the air might be cool, the water is not. Hurricanes live and die by water temps. Land interaction and dry air can diminish storms however, its going to swing over some warmer waters in a little while.
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Agreed!
I think we all have had enough everywhere in the world!
Stay safe please everyone!!!
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Dont hunker down...pack up and leave if you are in the path of a Cat 4 or 5.
I know its a pain but better safe than sorry at this point. You guys have been pounded lately...
True on the Cat4-5 Thats not worth losing life over. There's high confidence on a 3 though@ 105mph which is still a strong storm! if this storm sucks in enough dry air it will keep it from getting that strong ( Currently its 75MPH ) I'm praying for some dry air to enter this thing, that area these storms keep hitting has had enough...
There does appear to be something week of Oct 20 but the models are all over the place. too far out but conditions are very favorable where it could form.
SallyBrown
Shiny_Rock
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Sending prayers!
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I won't bore you guys with anything at the moment because, Its being a hurricane. That swing is widening out though which is worrisome (should not go deep into TX because of the high however) I think they said Beaumont, TX will have something to worry about, they could get a decent part of it. Anything on the east side of course is what will get the worst because hurricanes rotate counter clockwise and east side gets the onshore flow.
If there's a major cchange between now and friday will post it. otherwise I think its just planning to intensify so there is that. Current sustained winds are 100MPH.
If there's a major cchange between now and friday will post it. otherwise I think its just planning to intensify so there is that. Current sustained winds are 100MPH.
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Leaving today is going to be out of the question. They're saying current speed is 120MPH possibly sustaining this until landfall. The eye is a bit smaller which is great, it was a much bigger eye, the dry air helped it shrink some.
The unfortunate part of all this is how much damage is already on the ground where its coming ashore and, that stuff will be blown about. They're still saying it will come ashore during the evening hours.
Biggest worries are the amount of surge and additional water thats going to be going over some already saturated ground.
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Weakened Delta brings heavy rain and threat of flooding and tornadoes to Southeast | CNN
About 3 million people were under flood and flash flood watches on Saturday across parts of the Mississippi and Tennessee river valleys as the remnants of Hurricane Delta continued to drench the Southeast.
Continued good wishes being sent to everyone who is affected and keeping you in my thoughts.
@Arcadian I hope the storm has left your area and you are safe and sound.
Oy. And same. 2020 is the year that keeps on giving and giving and giving...none of it good.
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oh wow..... thats crazy!
The only good about the storm is that it wasn't a slow mover, but I did see the power outtage maps and its pretty bad.
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The alligator is gone, but we still don’t have power. MIL and my kids all have power. Our one way in and out bridge is submerged by the bayou, so....
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@whitewave I'm hoping you guys have electric!! (if not then soon!)
There's another little spot that could be hitting SoFL I'm really watching this one as it could go right up the peninsula! Where the high will be is going to tell the story but should not hit The Gulf as there is supposed to be a blocking high there.
Matthew hit right before Halloween and the season is not done yet!!
Gonna show you why I'm worried about that little x
There's another little spot that could be hitting SoFL I'm really watching this one as it could go right up the peninsula! Where the high will be is going to tell the story but should not hit The Gulf as there is supposed to be a blocking high there.
Matthew hit right before Halloween and the season is not done yet!!
Gonna show you why I'm worried about that little x
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